Game Details:
Matchup: Cubs vs Brewers
Date & Time: Saturday, October 4, 2025 | 7:10 PM CT
Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Betting Line: Brewers -1.5 | Over/Under: 8.0
Key Storylines
Brewers Fighting for Division Title: With just two games to go in the regular season, the Brewers are locked in a tight NL Central race. Every win counts as they aim to close out the season strong and secure home-field advantage for the Wild Card or Division Series.
Cubs Looking to Play Spoiler: The Cubs have been officially eliminated from postseason contention but are still dangerous, featuring a young core eager to end 2025 on a positive note. A win over Milwaukee would be a small victory to build on for next season.
Pitching Duel Alert: Tonight’s projected starters feature Chicago’s lefty Justin Steele (11-10, 3.54 ERA) against Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta (14-8, 3.19 ERA). Both have had solid second halves, and this matchup could be a low-scoring affair if they’re locked in early.
Injury Report
Cubs:
Out: Seiya Suzuki (oblique), Marcus Stroman (shoulder), Nick Madrigal (hamstring)
Day-to-day: Ian Happ (ankle)
Brewers:
Out: Bryse Wilson (shoulder), Garrett Mitchell (hamstring)
Questionable: Willy Adames (neck stiffness)
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
Cubs: 68-89 ATS this season
Brewers: 84-73 ATS this season
Over/Under Trends:
Total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cubs’ last 6 games
Total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brewers’ last 7 games
Brewers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 home games
Player Prop to Watch
Freddy Peralta (Brewers) – Strikeouts Total: 7.5
Peralta has hit over 7 strikeouts in five of his last seven starts. Facing a Cubs lineup prone to swings and misses, the over is worth consideration.
Christopher Morel (Cubs) – Hits + Runs + RBIs Total: 1.5
Morel has quietly been a bright spot in the Cubs’ lineup, and with Milwaukee’s bullpen occasionally vulnerable, he could make an impact late in the game.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Brewers -1.5 → Milwaukee has more to play for and should take care of business at home.
Total: Under 8.0 → Two strong starters plus playoff-like pressure leans toward a low-scoring contest.
Player Prop: Freddy Peralta Over 7.5 Strikeouts → Expect dominant stuff in a crucial spot.
With their postseason hopes in clear view, the Brewers will come out focused and determined. The Cubs will compete hard, but in the end, home-field and a superior bullpen should carry Milwaukee across the finish line.
Final Score Prediction: Brewers 4, Cubs 2
