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Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons Betting Pick Against the Spread for Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons ATS Pick

Spread: FALCONS -4.5 O/U 47.5


Last Games: The Falcons kept their playoff hopes alive with a 30-14 win over the New Orleans Saints and the Panthers beat the Cleveland Browns 17-13.

ATS and O/U Record

Carolina Panthers: 7-8 ATS / O/U 8-7
Atlanta Falcons: 7-8 ATS / O/U 6-9

Both of these teams are under .500 and since the winner of this game will win the NFC South they will join the 2010 Seahawks as the only teams to make the playoffs with a losing record. The Falcons beat the Panthers in Carolina in the middle of the season and they are the ESPN Pick in this game favored by 4.5 points. However, are they the Fox Sports Pick for Panthers vs. Falcons game to cover? The answer to that is yes and the main reason is that they are at home.

The Falcons are only 3-4 at home this season, but in the last 4 games between these 2 division rivals the home team has covered the spread every time. Also, the Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against Carolina.

Many of the betting trends point to the Panthers being the ESPN Pick, but that is not the case. Atlanta is only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after a win, but that trend will not continue, as they will win and cover the spread taking away a ton of momentum after their HUGE win in New Orleans last week.

While the Falcons don’t have the best betting trends the Panthers are not much better, especially a couple of key ones. Carolina is only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.

Jonathan Stewart has been rushing the ball well in the last 3 games and he rushed for over 120 yards in the Panthers last game and as a team had 209 rushing yards. However, the Browns rank dead last in the league in pass defense and in their last 6 games after rushing for more than 150 rushing yards they have only covered the spread 1 time.

The Carolina defense has been solid in the last few games, but Matt Ryan and the passing offense, which has been one of the bright spots for the Falcons, will get the better of them. He had a great game in the win over New Orleans and in the first match up with the Panthers he passed for 268 yards with a TD and he was not picked off. CBS Sports picks are right going for them to win and cover in this season finale home game.

Key Betting Trends For Falcons Panthers Matchup

The Panthers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and in their last 6 road games the posted total has gone Over every time.

The Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC South, and in their last 11 games the poste total has gone Under 8 times.

Head-To-Head Betting Trends

Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games
Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Atlanta.