Game Details:
Matchup: Blue Jays vs Marlins
Date & Time: Saturday, August 23, 2025 | 7:10 PM ET
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Betting Line: Blue Jays -120 | Over/Under: 8.5
Key Storylines
Playoff Implications Are Heating Up
The calendar is closing in on September, and both teams are in the thick of the playoff race. The Blue Jays are fighting for a Wild Card spot in the American League, while the Marlins are clinging to playoff hopes in the NL. Every game counts from here on out, making this weekend series in Miami pivotal for both squads.
Blue Jays’ Bats Heating Up
Toronto has picked up offensive momentum over the past week, led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (.287 AVG, 27 HR) and Bo Bichette (.301 AVG, 64 RBI). With George Springer finding his rhythm in August (.315 AVG this month), the lineup is looking more like the dangerous unit people expected back in April.
Marlins’ Rotation Shuffling
The Marlins were dealt a blow earlier this week when left-hander Jesús Luzardo (shoulder inflammation) was placed on the injured list. Miami will now turn to Edward Cabrera (5-4, 3.89 ERA) against the Blue Jays in what could be a bullpen-heavy night for the Fish.
Injury Report
Blue Jays:
Day-to-Day: Danny Jansen (hand), Kevin Kiermaier (groin)
Out: Alek Manoah (shoulder), Jordan Romano (elbow)
Marlins:
Out: Jesús Luzardo (shoulder), Trevor Rogers (lat), Avisail Garcia (hamstring)
Day-to-Day: Jazz Chisholm Jr. (ankle)
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
Blue Jays: 62-60 ATS this season
Marlins: 56-66 ATS this season
Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 6 of the Blue Jays’ last 9 games
The total has gone under in 5 of Miami’s last 7 home games
Player Prop to Watch
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays) – Total Bases: 1.5
Guerrero has recorded multiple bases in 4 of his last 6 games and will be facing a Miami pitcher making only his third start since returning from injury. The over on total bases looks appealing.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Blue Jays -1.5 → Toronto’s offense has more firepower, and with the Marlins shuffling the rotation, pitching depth may be an issue.
Total: Under 8.5 → While the Blue Jays are heating up, Miami’s home games have trended under, especially with their weakened offense.
Player Prop: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases → Hot bat, good matchup.
The Blue Jays should have the upper hand if their starting pitching holds up against a depleted Marlins lineup. Expect a low-scoring but controlled game from Toronto’s side.
Final Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Marlins 2
