Game Details:
Matchup: Brewers vs. Pirates
Date & Time: Wednesday, August 13, 2025 | 6:40 PM ET
Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Betting Line: Brewers -120 | Over/Under: 8.5
Key Storylines
NL Central Battle: With both teams still in the thick of the NL Central race, tonight’s game carries postseason implications. Milwaukee has held the upper hand this season, but the Pirates are looking to turn the tide at home.
Pitching Matchup: The Brewers are expected to send right-hander Freddy Peralta (10-6, 3.51 ERA) to the mound, while the Pirates counter with rookie sensation Jared Jones (8-7, 3.78 ERA). Both pitchers have shown flashes of dominance in 2025, making this a potentially low-scoring game early on.
Injury Report
Brewers:
Out: Robert Gasser (elbow), Garrett Mitchell (shoulder)
Questionable: Christian Yelich (back tightness)
Pirates:
Out: David Bednar (triceps), Quinn Priester (oblique)
Questionable: Ke’Bryan Hayes (groin)
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
Brewers: 59-55 ATS
Pirates: 56-58 ATS
Over/Under Trends:
Total has gone under in 6 of the last 9 games for Milwaukee
Total has gone over in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 7 home games
Head-to-Head:
Milwaukee leads the season series 7-4. They’ve won three of the last four meetings, outscoring the Pirates by a combined 19-10 in those contests.
Player Prop to Watch
Freddy Peralta – Strikeouts Total: 7.5
The Pirates strike out at one of the higher rates in the league (24.8% team K rate). Peralta fanned nine in his last start and has cleared 7.5 Ks in four of his last six outings. The over could be a strong play here.
Oneil Cruz – Total Bases: 1.5
Cruz has been hot at the plate in August and hits right-handers better, which makes the over on total bases an intriguing value, especially with his recent power surge.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Brewers -1.5 → Milwaukee’s edge in starting pitching and bullpen depth gives them the upper hand.
Total: Under 8.5 → With two solid starters on the hill and both teams trending under in recent matchups, expect a tightly contested game.
Player Prop: Freddy Peralta Over 7.5 Ks → Plenty of whiff potential against a Pirates lineup that struggles to make consistent contact.
The Pirates have shown flashes of competitiveness, especially at home, but the Brewers’ consistency and strong rotation give them a good shot to come out on top again. If Christian Yelich plays, that only boosts Milwaukee’s chances.
Final Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Pirates 3
