Game Details:
Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Yankees
Date & Time: Tuesday, October 7, 2025 | 7:05 PM ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Betting Line: Yankees -135 | Over/Under: 8.0
Key Storylines
Yankees Fight for Playoffs in Tight AL East
With the regular season winding down, tonight’s clash between the Blue Jays and Yankees could have major playoff implications. The Yankees are battling for the final Wild Card berth, and every game is a must-win. Sitting just two games behind the Astros for the second AL Wild Card, New York has found urgency, winning six of its last eight.
Blue Jays Look to Play Spoiler
Toronto may be out of playoff contention, but they’ve embraced the role of spoiler. With a young lineup that has been showcasing power in recent weeks, the Blue Jays enter tonight looking to disrupt the Yankees’ postseason hopes. Rookie slugger Orelvis Martinez homered twice over the weekend, continuing to impress during his late-season call-up.
Injury Report
Blue Jays:
Out: Bo Bichette (knee), Alek Manoah (shoulder), Cavan Biggio (oblique)
Questionable: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (wrist)
Yankees:
Out: Anthony Rizzo (concussion), Nestor Cortes Jr. (rotator cuff)
Questionable: Aaron Judge (hip), Carlos Rodón (fatigue)
Starting Pitching Matchup
Blue Jays: José Berríos (12-9, 3.67 ERA)
It’s been a bounce-back year for Berríos, who’s found consistency deep into the season. He’s allowed two runs or fewer in four of his last five starts and has a 2.81 ERA in three outings against the Yankees in 2025.
Yankees: Luis Gil (10-6, 3.42 ERA)
After missing all of 2023 and most of 2024 due to Tommy John surgery, Gil has delivered a remarkable comeback season. His high-velocity fastball remains his go-to, but he’s had command issues lately, walking 10 batters over his last two starts.
Betting Trends
-
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 games at home
-
- Blue Jays are 6-4 in their last 10 overall, but just 3-7 in their last 10 on the road
-
- The total has gone over in 7 of Toronto’s last 10 games
-
- The under is 5-2 in Yankees’ last 7 home contests
Player Props to Watch
Orelvis Martinez (Blue Jays) – Home Run: +340
Martinez has three homers in his last four games and looks poised to finish the season strong. Value exists here with Gil’s elevated walk rate creating RBI chances.
Juan Soto (Yankees) – Total Bases: Over 1.5
Soto has quietly been one of the Yankees’ most consistent hitters down the stretch, batting .313 with a .943 OPS in the last two weeks.
Prediction & Best Bets
Moneyline: Yankees -135 → With more at stake and an offense featuring more veteran presence, the Yankees are the safer pick at home, especially with their bullpen showing improved form.
Total: Over 8.0 → Despite strong starting pitchers, both bullpens have been inconsistent. A few late-inning runs on both sides could push the total over.
Player Prop: Juan Soto Over 1.5 Total Bases → Soto’s in a groove, and he tends to elevate in high-pressure games. Expect him to make a big impact tonight.
